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Date: Wed, 10 Jan 1996 06:53:20 -0800
Sender: Progressive News & Views List <PNEWS-L@SJUVM.STJOHNS.EDU>
From: Hank Roth <pnews@IGC.APC.ORG>
Subject: GAMA: NL 25: Hungary's Left
/* Written 9:13 AM Jan 10, 1996 by ASTA.UNIH@OLN.comlink.apc.org in
igc:reg.eeurope */
/* ---------- "GAMA: NL 25: Hungary's Left" ---------- */
Global Alternative Media Association - GAMA - presents:
Decline and Rise of the Left Communists, Socialists and Socialdemocrats
in Hungary
By Laszlo Andor, Newsletter, The International
Communication Project, Nr. 25, January 1996
The landslide victory of the Hungarian Socialdemocratic Party
(MSZP) in the general elections in May 1994 seemed to be the
biggest turn to the left of all the elections in central and
eastern Europe in recent time. And even though leading
industrialists had visited the headquarter of the Party on the
Place of the Republic months before the elections to safeguard the
goodwill of the socialist politicians, nobody had expected such an
outstanding victory, gaining the absolute majority.
First the western press reacted in a usual way, reporting about
the red nightmare. In most newspapers, the Socialist Party was
described as a, "Party of former Communists," and the Hungarian
election results were seen within the context of a regional trend
towards left parties and to politicians of old; this trend began
in Lithuania in 1992, was continued in Poland in 1993 and most
likely it will continue in the rest of the former Soviet interest
sphere, with the probable exception of the Czech Republic.
This article tries to analyse whether the red nightmare which is
painted on the walls by certain western media, has its
justification or not. How can the political character of a
postcommunist party basically look like five years after the
historical disintegration of the East-European state-socialism?
The profile of the Hungarian Socialist Party and other left
organisations shall be analysed. We start with an historical
overview and after that we try to explain the remarkable comeback
of the MSZP. Finally, the policy of the new government, led by the
socialists, shall be judged.
The dissolution of the MSZMP
The strongest Hungarian leftist party, the MSZP, regards itself as
a new party, younger than all the other parties in parliament,
simply because the oppositional parties had been founded at the
end of State Socialism, 1988 - 98, whereas the Socialist Party was
founded in October 1989, during the 14th Congress of the Hungarian
Socialist Workers' Party (MSZMP). Already one year before the
Congress, several reform groups started to work within the party
and demanded the transition into democratic and market economical
positions. Still, these circles were hardly supported by the
members (almost 800,000 at that time), but they had a good
publicity, and with external aid they were able to put pressure on
the leadership to change the policy and to take into account the
general changes.
The most important leaders of the reform wing of the MSZMP were
Imre Pozsgay, the advocate of democratisation, and Rezss Nyer who
mainly stood for economic reforms. They joined even before the
party's conference in 1988 in which Janos Kadar and most of the
members of the Politburo and the Central Committee were forced to
leave. When more and more politicians understood that further
changes could not be prevented because of the economic crisis and
the changes in foreign policy initiated by Gorbatchov, the reform
circles gained more and more support, and finally they asked the
party's leadership, headed by General Karoly Grssz, to resign. In
March 1989, Primeminister Miklos Nemeth broke with Grssz and
joined the reformers. In June, Nyers was installed as the party's
President.
In the Summer, delegations of the MSZP, led by Pozsgay, and
representatives of oppositional parties and the citizens' rights
movement agreed on a peaceful transition towards a parliamentary
democracy. This agreement was signed in September. At the same
time, the public opinion was directed against socialism by the
drama of the East-German tourists and by the strong manipulations
of the media by Pozsgay's men. During the congress, staged for the
beginning of October, the reform wing was ready to form a new
party with new political guidelines compatible to a
market-economical and multi-party system. Those who could not join
this programme, started to organise alternative platforms, the
most important one being the Democratic People's Platform (PDP).
The ideological background for this platform and also for some of
their leaders was the Left Alternative Alliance which was founded
in September 1988. The mostly intellectual members of the left
Alternative tried to develop alternatives to the capitalist
privatisation and supported the ideas of economic democracy and
workers' self-governing; it seemed to be rooted in the newly
advancing workers' council movement. Their aim was to let the
,true socialism" survive within the postcommunist political
structures, although also party careerists joined the platform,
because they did not find a proper place within the triumphant
reform movement.
The reform alliance, led by the political scientist Attila Agh,
was resolved to establish a new party, whereas the PDP, led by the
historian Tamas Krausz, finally decided to join the former one in
order to safeguard the unity of the party. It almost seemed like
the right and the left opposition of the Kadarists were about to
establish a new party. Nyers who at that time still defended the
existence of traditional parties (which was later caused to fall
in a vote initiated by the Free Democrats), was elected party
leader. During the same referendum in November 1989, Pozsgay's
ambitions to become president of the new republic had been broken.
During the party's congress it was decided that only newly
admitted people can become members. So, members of the MSZMP were
forced to re-apply for membership, yet the property of the MSZMP
had been taken over by the MSZP. In a live-interview on t.v. on
the evening of the party's foundation, Nyers said that they are
expecting to have 300,000 to 400,000 members. Actually, it had
only been one tenth after the first year, and also during the
following years, the number of members could not be raised
significantly. The former members realised that the political
structure had changed profoundly and that within the new structure
membership was less necessary that before. Also, many of them
joined liberal and conservative parties, and even 23 per cent of
the members of parliament after April 1990 had been former members
of the MSZMP. For those who held up socialist values and
achievements, it was uncertain which party to join. Besides the
MSZP, the old MSZMP which was revived by old Kadarists in December
1989, and the Hungarian Socialdemocratic Party were still
existing; furthermore, the patriotic Election Alliance and the
Agrarian Union which was resolutely calling for the maintenance of
collective farms, were active.
The disunity of the left had to lead to a disaster during the
general elections in March 1990. The liberal votes were mainly won
by the Alliance of Free Democrats (SZDSZ) few votes were won by
the Alliance of Young Democrats (FIDESZ); the majority of the
conservative votes were won by the Hungarian Democratic Front, a
small part went to the Independent Party of Small Landowners
(FKGP) and also to the Christian Democratic People's Party (KDNP).
The latter three formed the government, led by Primeminister
Jszsef Antall.
The Valley of Tears
The MSZP only gained 10.9 per cent of the votes, and thus only got
33 seats in parliament out of 386. All of the other left parties
had less than 4 per cent and were not represented in parliament.
Yet, this was not the worst. Poszgay, who felt uneasy within a
party that was only a tiny parliamentary fraction and constantly
persecuted, left the party and later founded the
Nationaldemocratic Alliance. In 1990, Nemeth also left the
fraction, but he also left the parliament and the country and went
to London as President of the Bank for Reconstruction and
Development. The oldest one of the leading personage of the party,
Nyers, was thrown out by the former Minister for Foreign Affairs,
Gyula Horn, who was elected party president and intended to lead
the party back to a successful course.
Horn had been working in the Foreign Service for three decades
under Kadar. In the late 1980ies, he was member of the Central
Committee and became Minister for Foreign Affairs when Miklss
Nemeth reshuffled his government in 1989. When he was elected
party president, he safeguarded a strong leadership by
concentrating all the important decissions-making power into his
hands.
As a tactician, Horn was ready to do almost everything to
guarantee the survival of the left in times when several leading
intellectuals had to resign, and the political right triumphed all
along the line. These regional and general intellectual tendencies
had most obviously a huge impact on the internal powerstructure of
the MSZP. The right wing of the party took the lead, and
discussions about socialist traditions and workers' movements were
pushed to the fringe and were only discussed in weekend-talks and
in magazines with very small circulations. Quite frequently, the
party's leadership felt the need to give very aggressive comments
about the MSZP to underline the divide from the past, and thus to
enlarge the chances for a political survival.
Until 1993, the MSZP seemed to have been fighting for survival.
Even as the popularity of the governing conservative coalition
declined, the chances for the socialists still remained low. Most
of the observers of the political scene, especially those working
for liberal politicians, believed that in 1994 a liberal coalition
would replace the conservative government. FIDESZ, which became
the most popular party in 1992, joined an alliance and virtually
formed a shadow coalition within the SZDSZ, the party of
entrepreneurs, and the Agrarian Union (the latter one changed its
political direction and joined the liberal bloc after the bad
results in 1990).
Expecting a liberal coalition, socialist strategics advised the
MSZP to save energy for the elections in 1998, practically waiting
for the third free elections. In 1993, western journalists already
wrote about Viktor Urban (FIDESZ) as the Primeminister of the new
government. Yet, internal and also external factors prevented the
predicted power constellation.
1. First, the failure to stabilise the capitalistic restoration in
the CIS caused a huge loss of credibility for the transition
period also in those countries where less victims were claimed by
the transformation. Not only Russia but the whole former Soviet
bloc could be seen to fall into terrible unrest and chaos and
remain there for several years after the overcoming of
state-socialism. Not forgetting the negative sides of the rule of
the Communist Party, the people began to appreciate those things
they had lost in the transition period, especially in countries
where the socialist state had distributed many things among the
people, i.e. Hungary.
2. Second, the fact that recession in the West could not be kept
under control, also led to changes in the East. The West had less
resources at his hands for the support of the East. Moreover, the
absolute westernization had to be doubted when the capacities as
well as the will of the western governments to support the
transition states appeared to be low, whereas the loss of the
Eastern market was immense.
These two external factors changed the national as well as the
international acceptance of those parties that did not talk about
the ,end of history". Of course, also important national factors
led to the rising popularity of the MSZP.
3. The unexpectedly high burden of economic transition fed the
anger against those who advocated most vigorously to direct the
country into this adventure. Workers and employees whose
living-standard declined constantly and whose jobs became
increasingly insecure, were not only fed up with the arrogant
coalition parties, but also with those who said that the
programmes would have been successful if directed by more
competent people. The ,half-turn" suggested by FIDESZ, had been
rejected by almost the whole electorate.
4. Concerning the active part of political changes - the
subjective factor - a new orientation of the left took place by
the establishment of a close coalition between MSZP and the
biggest trade unions. These trade unions did not operate
militantly during the transition period, there were hardly any
strikes in these years. In 1990, there had not been any official
contact between the trade unions and the party, because both
regarded the other one as bad company. At that time, the trade
unions believed that contacts to a postcommunist party were
useless in a time of unpolitical representation, and the party
believed that a modern social democratic party can gain image by
keeping their distance to the good old working class.
After summer 1993, when a liberal-conservative bloc, consisting of
five parties, passed a law to destroy leftist trade unions, in
particular the MSZOSZ, led by Sandor Nagy, both only had the
opportunity to form an alliance. Still, they were as hesitant to
chose between legal and illegal measures which gave MSZOSZ and
others enough time to reorganise and even win the elections for
the Social Insurance Boards in 1993. This result which brought the
health founds as well as the pensions founds under the control of
MSZOSZ, was the first sign for a left-turn in the forthcoming
general elections.
Horn did not inhale
Considering the transitional problems in this region and the
rising popularity of the MSZP, also the international support
increased. In 1992, MSZP was given observer status for the
Socialist International. Pierre Mauroy, leader of the SI, visited
Hungary three months before the elections and advocated the ideas
of democratic socialism with the full credibility of western
civilisation. Also Franz Vranitzki, Bundeschancellor of Austria,
visited Horn in Gyvr soon after Mauroy.
The MSZP was desperately in need of foreign and national support,
because the conservative propaganda-machine tried to destroy the
Socialists, the Liberals and especially Horn as a person, by the
aid of the whole national electronic media. Above all, they
concentrated on Horn's history of 1956, when he had been member of
the Volunteer ,Rubberjacket" Brigades, fighting along with Kadar.
Already in 1990, Horn had confessed these events and underlined
his confessions in his biography, written in the same year.
According to his version, he had never shot at people but had only
guarded bridges and buildings. This sounded very much like
Clinton's confession to have had smoked marijuana once, but to
have not inhaled. And like in the case of Clinton, marijuana and
American public, nobody took any interest in who had done what in
1956 or 1968. The people were more interested in the living
circumstances of the 90ies.
Trying to make the most of Horn's history became a failure, also
because the veterans of 1956 left a very bad and unattractive
political impression in recent years. They joined with the extreme
right and supported bloodthirsty ideas in a time when the people
wished for reconciliation. Under these circumstances, Horn, who
came from an extremely poor worker's family, fought against
,these" people in 1956, opened the borders for east German
tourists in 1989, stood against the aristocratic style and the
mismanagement of the conservative coalition, seemed like a Robin
Hood to the electorate.
The final boom for the MSZP came from the car accident of Horn
only 58 hours before the opening of the polling-stations. He just
returned to Budapest from Miskolc, the biggest industrial city in
the north. There, the successful happening ended with cheers and
Horn ended his speech by saying that a government led by the
Socialists would end the ,noble spree" (a allusion to the a story
of Zsigmond Msricz, the nation's most famous farmer's author of
the beginning 20th century). One hour later, Horn was driving onto
a lorry standing on the street without any light; the
circumstances of the accident are still investigated.
The first round of elections took place on May 8, and the MSZP won
33 per cent of the votes. The second round was held three weeks
later and the MSZP won in all constituencies but 24. This meant 54
per cent of the votes and 206 of the 386 seats in parliament. A
regional study of the elections revealed that only in two regions
non-socialist candidates were triumphant. The one region was the
hilly area Buda, where the upper class confirmed the MDF
politicians, following the historical pattern of Conservatism. The
second one was the North-West, especially along the border to
Austria, where the liberal candidates (SZDSZ) were quite
successful.
The region with the most left votes is north of Budapest, where
some candidates of the Workers' Party (the new name of the MSZMP)
had almost won seats. Yet, the candidates of the Workers' Party
who still called themselves Communists, were not able to build up
a strong competition to the MSZP. Their slogans were
old-fashioned, whereas the MSZP was successful in combining the
relative security of the 80ies with the promises of the West. The
leaders of the Workers' Party could not gain such popularity like
Gregor Gysi, then leader of the German PDS, although their party
was the strongest among those who were not represented in
parliament. To prevent the Workers' Party (and other small
parties) from entering the parliament, the quota was risen to 5
per cent. Yet, the predictions proved to be wrong because the
Workers' Party only won 3 to 4 per cent of the votes.
The Social Democrats (MSZDP) had even greater problems in
convincing the electorate from their leadership ability. Everybody
had the scandalous president Anna Petrasovits in mind, who could
impress Hans-Joachim Vogel, then leader of the German Social
Democrats, and get some money from the SI, but she could not
convince the electorate of being Anna Kithly, former leader of the
MSZDP, and the Hungarian type of Mrs Grundland in one person. The
party, hit by heavy internal fights, rejoined in 1993 under the
leadership of the popular politician Zoltan Kiraly. But at that
time the image was that bad that even Kiraly lost his seat for the
city which he represented between 1985 and 1994.
It became evident that the people voted for parties and not for
single persons. In the ninth district of Budapest, for example, a
completely unknown young physicist, Mihaly Kvkiny, who was on the
socialist list, won against the president of SZDSZ, Piter
Tvlgyessy, and the Minister of Finance, Ivan Szabs. In another
constituency of Budapest, Ivan Pitv, leader of the Free Democrats,
was beaten by Ilkiks Picsi, a popular actress. The results had
surprised both supporters and opponents. More and more hints are
evolving that the people not only voted for a change after the
tragic experience of the transition period, but that the general
direction of the system was no longer attractive for most of the
citizens.
A study revealed that the number of people who believed the
Kadar-regime to be better than the present social circumstance,
had risen between the beginning of 1992 and 1994 significantly.
,The number of those who believe that market economy must be
implemented even though it will claim its victims, had declined
from 40 to 29 per cent. This time, only 17 per cent of the people
denounced the assertion that the introduction of capitalism in
Hungary caused more evil than good. The majority agreed partly or
wholly on the fact that capitalism brings along painful
experiences." (Vasarhelyi, 1994: 3)
It is worthwhile quoting more of the summary of this study,
accomplished by the Department for Communication Studies of the
Hungarian Academy of the Sciences and the Evtvvs Lorand
University: ,The number of those who believe that a great deal of
Socialism should have remained, had risen from 28 to 38 per cent.
The number of those who rejected this point of view, declined
from 28 per cent in 1992 to 17 per cent. A rising number of people
believes that the Kadar-regime had been more just and took more
care about the problems of the common people. At the same time,
the wish for a caring and paternalistic state rose, and now the
majority believes that the role of the state should be stronger
concerning regulation and redistribution of wages. A great
majority believes that a stronger state control on economical
processes is necessary. The resistance against privatisation
increased. In this poll, fifty per cent of the people questioned,
believed that bigger companies should not be privatised (another
quarter partly believed this). In addition, the majority of the
people do not see any real work behind the enrichment of the
entrepreneurs. Today, it is almost common knowledge that under the
current economical circumstances, only those are successful who
speculate or who have good informal relationships." (Vasarhelyi,
1994: 3-4)
Forming the Government
Despite the absolute majority of the MSZP, negotiation about a
coalition with the SZDSZ soon began. This had several reasons.
First, the international reliability of the MSZP asked for a
coalition with a party which was blameless for western capital and
western governments. Second, the intended austerity policy should
be supported by other parties, in particular because the debated
measures were more likely to be found on the agenda of the latter
one than on the agenda of the Socialists. Third, the SZDSZ was
willing for form a coalition to show their electorate that they
are worth being supported and that they represent power. And
fourth, the negotiations already begun months before without
knowing the results of the forthcoming elections.
The distribution of the departments as a result of the three-weeks
negotiations reflected the relationship between the parties as
well as within the parties. To agree to the coalition, the SZDSZ,
which gained 69 seats in parliament, could nominate three
ministers: Gabor Kuncze (Interior), Karoly Lotz (Transport and
Communication) and Gabor Fodor (Culture and Education). Kuncze and
Lotz had been managers in private companies and were the most
unknown members of parliament until the SZDSZ-leaders decided that
Kuncze was the only personality fit for President. Finally, he
wasn't made president but he not only became minister, but also
deputy of Primeminister Gyula Horn. Fodor, one of the most famous
politicians of Hungary, did not belong to the core of the party,
either, since he only joined it before the elections -after his
withdrawal from FIDESZ in November 1993.
The other ministers are socialists and represent the different
wings within the party. The most extreme right one, without doubt
even more extreme than many of the Free Democrats, is Laszlo
Bikesi, the Finance Minister which he had already been in the
Nemeth-government. Bikesi stands for the austerity policy of the
MSZP and therefore, his becoming a minister and the acceptance of
the Bikesi-programme had been a prerequisite for the SZDSZ to form
a coalition.
The formation of the Bikesi-programme goes back to August 1993
when the MSZP launched a election campaign about the good times
that were about to come if the people voted them. Later, it became
evident that this campaign had been an invention of the party and
that it was missing any analysis of the economic circumstances in
the country. After an open dispute, Bikesi, the strongest opponent
of the campaign, announced his proposals about what was really
possible. And this was very negative. He acknowledged the increase
of GNP and a low unemployment rate as ultimate aims of a
socialdemocratic party, but he also made clear that because of the
twofold deficits, the government had to start with an austerity
period in which the inflation as well as the unemployment rate
would rise.
Bikesi also stands for neo-liberalism as the most important
economical philosophy for the MSZP. Budgets have to be even,
public spending have to be cut back, the trade has to liberalised,
capital taxes have to be reduced and the selling of state
companies, especially economic banks, must be accelerated.
Concerning privatisation, the Bikesi-programme said. ,We hold the
opinion that the input of new capital, the technological
modernisation and the protection as well as the creation of
workplaces should be the most important aims of the privatisation.
Therefore, it is our aim to create equal conditions for national
and foreign professional investors by clear competition rules. We
can contain the number of bankruptcies in the process of
privatisation by purchasing state-shares and by prepare the
privatisation which should be mainly directed towards economical
aspects. In the preparation for privatisation we would hand over
more influence to the company's management and to independent
consulting companies. While we would carry out the privatisation
through effective legislation, we do not plan to meet any recent
claim. We do not support any distribution of private property of
any sort during this privatisation process." (Bikesi, 1994: 4)
Bikesi seems to ignore the social context of his economic policy.
His opinion concerning the trade unions is very close to that of
Stalin. He believes, and also repeats it in front of journalists,
that the one advantage of the MSZP lies in the circumstances that
the socialist party keeps good contacts to the trade unions and
therefore can most easily convince society of accepting the right
economic policy. This is why he is member of the MSZP. Within this
,transmissionlines"-policy, the trade unions are part of the
social dialogue, because they not only listen to economic experts,
but they also produce alternative concepts.
Magda Kssa Kovacs is the one member of government with the closest
contacts to trade unions. She is the Minister for Labour, and she
is the only woman in the government. In the 80ies, she had been
secretary in the national Trade Union Council and became member of
parliament in 1990. Apart from her, there are two more ministers
who belong to the party's left wing.: Pal Vastagh, former legal
professor and member of the Politburo, and now Minister of
Justice, and Laszlo Pal, Minister for Industry and Trade, who was
deputy minister under Nemeth and who stands up against Bikesi's
neo-liberal economic policy in several points. Both, Vastagh and
Pal, had been members of the Left Alliance.
The cabinet also included some experts right of the party's
middle, for example Laszls Kovacs (Foreign policy), Laszls Lakos
(Agrarian economy) and Pal Kovacs (Welfare). Populist ministers
are Ferenz Baja (Environmental policy and regional development),
Bila Katona (no special department, but commissioned to supervise
the intelligent services) and Gyvrgy Keleti (Defence), who is a
former spokesperson in the same department, until he was forced
to resign to win a intermediary election in Kisbir in 1992.
The government started its policy with a double strategy. On the
one hand, it stated that it still needed time to gain an overview
on the actual situation in the country, which they were restricted
from when they had been in opposition. On the other hand, it
immediately started to introduce some cut down measures, because
it regarded the result of the above mentioned study as rather
gloomy. The experts of the IMF also supported Bikesi to implement
his plans. Soon after the forming of the government, the Forint
was devaluated by 8 per cent, increase of taxes as well as cutting
of government spending and other cut down measures were announced.
On September 27, Horn held a speech in parliament, transmitted in
the media, about the serious economic situation and about the
conditions of IMF and World Bank, and one month later, only
several days before the arrival of Camdessus, President of the
IMF, the yearly budget law was passed.
In October, all bigger leftist parties held their conferences. The
MSZP confirmed Horn as party leader and elected Sandor Csintalan,
a favourite of the trade union activists, party manager.
The most interesting point of this congress had been the fact that
the delegates did not elected Imre Szekeres for vice president of
the party - and thus successor of Horn.
The congress of the Workers' Party ended without any clear idea
about possible changes and how the attraction and the
competitiveness of the party could be improved.
During the congress of the Social Democrats, a new party leader
was elected, Laszls Kapolyi, Minister for Industry in the 80ies
and presently one of the most important representatives of the
party. His election confirmed the position of the party,
represented by Kiraly, between the MSZP and WP. The future will
show, if this improves the heavily hit reputation of the Social
Democrats.
Global Alternative Media Association - GAMA
is a division of Foundation for International Communication - FIC
GAMA is a global co-operation of alternative media reaching a
combined audience of more than 200.000 people.
Media interested in joining the association should contact:
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