Date: Sat, 23 Dec 1995 00:48:23 GMT
Reply-To: Rich Winkel <rich@pencil.math.missouri.edu>
Sender: Activists Mailing List <ACTIV-L@MIZZOU1.missouri.edu>
From: Rich Winkel <rich@pencil.math.missouri.edu>
Organization: PACH
Subject: IRAQ: 1995 UN Nutrition Study: Conclusions & Recommendations
To: Multiple recipients of list ACTIV-L <ACTIV-L@MIZZOU1.missouri.edu>
/** mideast.gulf: 77.0 **/
** Topic: IRAQ/FAO 7: FAO - Study from 1995 **
** Written 5:15 PM Dec 10, 1995 by G.LANGE@LINK-GOE.zerberus.de in
The situation throughout the country is increasingly disastrous with economic decline spreading across almost all sectors of Iraqi society. Of particular concern to the Mission is the ability of the country to feed itself and to provide a quality system of health care. Malnutrition is widespread affecting nearly all social groups throughout the country with as many as 12% of children surveyed in Baghdad wasted and 28% stunted. If no action is taken the nutritional situation will undoubtedly get worse, and rates of child mortality will increase.
Despite the complexity of the problems, both the cause and the solution are, in principle, clear. Without hard currency the country cannot purchase food, medicines, spare parts, machinery, fertilizers, seeds, herbicides and other agricultural inputs. The reduction in imports combined with the resultant decline in agricultural production has led to a serious reduction in the amount and quality of foods available for consumption by the population. This reduction in availability is aggravated by hyperinflation (also caused by the inability to generate foreign exchange), as many families do not have sufficient money to purchase the food which is available in the market place. In a parallel manner, without spare parts for pumps and other needed material for the water supply and sewage disposal system, impure water and sewage backups produce severe health risks for the population. The combination of decreased food availability and the occurrence of infectious disease results in increasing malnutrition especially in children.
Although the Security Council Resolutions permit the importation of food, health and other basic necessities from Iraqi frozen assets, insufficient funds from these assets have been released for humanitarian purposes. As a consequence the amount of food required and the supplies needed to produce and process food have been far in excess of the amounts the GOI has been able to import with its limited foreign exchange. Further, although the resumption of sales of oil has been extensively discussed, the embargo on such sales has not yet been lifted. It is unlikely at the present time that the donor community will come forward with the resources needed to make up for the shortfall and in view of the deteriorating nutrition and health situation throughout the country the reduction in aid is a matter of grave concern. If this situation is allowed to continue the result will undoubtedly be even further deterioration in the nutritional status and health of large sections of the Iraqi population. There is a strong possibility of an outright collapse of the food and agricultural economy which would cripple the food ration system and lead to widespread famine and hunger.
Because of the increasing cost of food and decreasing purchasing power, the ability to secure a balanced diet is increasingly unavailable to the vast majority of the population and nutritional status continues to go from bad to worse. If no additional funds or resources are provided the Mission recommends that the following steps should be taken:
Year | Kwashiorkor | Marasmus | Other Malnutrition |
---|---|---|---|
1990 | 41 | 433 | 8,063 |
1991 | 1,066 | 8,015 | 78,990 |
1992 | 1,145 | 9,289 | 93,610 |
1993 | 1,261 | 11,612 | 102,971 |
1994 | 1,748 | 16,025 | 131,349 |
1995 (a) | 2,237 | 20,549 | 140,354 |
(a) January to July
Source: Government of Iraq, Vital and Health Statistics Department.
Year | Period | Total Deaths | Monthly Average |
---|---|---|---|
1989 | Jan - Dec | 7,110 | 593 |
1990 | Aug - Dec | 8,903 | 1,483 |
1991 | Jan - Dec | 27,473 | 2,289 |
1992 | Jan - Dec | 46,933 | 3,911 |
1993 | Jan - Dec | 49,762 | 4,147 |
1994 | Jan - Dec | 52,905 | 4,409 |
1995 | Jan - Jul | 31,327 | 4,475 |
(a) Selected causes include respiratory infections, diarrhoea/
gastroenteritis, and malnutrition.
Source: Government of Iraq, Vital and Health Statistics Department.
Date | Total Pediatric Admissions |
Total No. of Malnutrition Admissions |
%_Malnutrition Cases to Total Admissions |
Severe Cases Marasmus (weight/height=70%) | Marasmus as % of Total Malnutrition |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1993 | |||||
Jan. | 1,820 | 78 | 4.3 | 16 | 20.5 |
June | 3,385 | 65 | 1.9 | 17 | 26.2 |
July | 4,086 | 122 | 3.0 | 30 | 24.6 |
Dec. | 1,847 | 138 | 7.5 | 33 | 23.9 |
1994 | |||||
Jan. | 2,104 | 108 | 5.1 | 35 | 32.4 |
June | 3,109 | 326 | 10.5 | 84 | 25.8 |
July | 3,286 | 606 | 18.4 | 195 | 32.2 |
Dec. | 1,303 | 234 | 17.9 | 78 | 33.3 |
1995 | |||||
Jan. | 1,240 | 362 | 29.2 | 97 | 26.8 |
June | 2,903 | 592 | 20.4 | 188 | 31.8 |
July | 2,369 | 502 | 21.2 | 177 | 35.3 |
Age Group | Reference Period (1) | During Economic Sactions (2) | Relative Mortality (95% confidence interval) |
---|---|---|---|
Infant Mortality (< 1 year of age) | |||
No. of deaths | 16 | 36 | 2.0 |
No. of live births | 199 | 224 | (1.15, 3.49) |
Risk of infant death | .0804 | .1607 | |
Child Mortality ( < 5 years of age) | |||
No. of deaths | 33 | 245 | 4.88 |
No. of children born | 812 | 1,236 | (3.43, 6.94) |
Risk of child death | .0406 | .1982 |
1 Reference period for infant mortality includes all children born between August 1989 and July 1990. Reference period for child mortality includes all children born between August 1985 and July 1990.
2 Index period (during economic sanctions) for infant mortality includes all children born in the year prior to the date of interview (September 1994 to August 1995). Index period for calculation of child mortality includes all children born from August 1990 to the date of interview (under the age of 5).
Age Group | Mortality Rate Reference Period (1) |
Mortality Rate During Economic Sanctions(2) |
Relative Mortality (95% confidence interval) |
---|---|---|---|
Infant Mortality ( < 1 year of age) Maternal Education, | |||
Illiterate | .077 | .256 | 3.59 (1.07, 12.09) |
Primary | .084 | .256 | 3.59 (1.07, 12.09) |
Second/Post-Sec. | .076 | .138 | 1.82 (.61, 5.42) |
Child Mortality (< 5 years of age) Maternal education | |||
Illiterate | .034 | .289 | 8.50 (3.99, 18.07) |
Primary | .042 | .186 | 4.44 (2,67, 7.40) |
Second/Post-Sec. | .045 | .164 | 3.67 (1.93, 6.98) |
1 Reference period for infant mortality includes all children born between August 1989 and July 1990. Reference period for child mortality includes all children born between August 1985 and July 1990.
2 Index period (during economic sanctions) for infant mortality includes all children born in the year prior to the date of interview (September 1994 to August 1995). Index period for calculation of child mortality includes all children born from August 1990 to the date of interview (under the age of 5).