Date: Sat, 2 May 98 18:16:14 CDT
From: rich@pencil.math.missouri.edu (Rich Winkel)
Organization: PACH
Subject: NACLA: Venezuela: The Politics of Privatization
Article: 33904
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
Message-ID: <bulk.15354.19980503121702@chumbly.math.missouri.edu>
/** nacla.report: 380.0 **/
** Topic: Venezuela by Steve Ellner **
** Written 10:10 AM Apr 30, 1998 by nacla in cdp:nacla.report **
When Venezuela's Imataca Forest Reserve, home to five major indigenous groups, and prospecting grounds to thousands of independent, wildcatting gold miners, was opened to private concessions by presidential decree this year, a fierce debate ensued that exposed some widening rifts within Venezuela's fractious party system. The debate over the privatization of the two-and-a-half-million-acre forest reserve near the Brazilian border has taken place not only among, but within the country's five major parties, and reflects major internal differences over the process of privatization in general.
Venezuela's 81-year-old president, Rafael Caldera, a founding member of the conservative social-Christian party, Copei, was elected in 1993 at the head of a new party called Convergencia, a breakaway anti- neoliberal faction of the party he founded a half century ago. With the support of the leftist Movement Towards Socialism (MAS) and a dozen smaller groups and parties, he promised to hold back the tide of privatization, deregulation, budget cuts and labor discipline that have defined the neoliberal agenda-and that were the undoing of the 1989- 1993 government of his predecessor, Carlos Andres Perez. Perez, a long-time leader of the social-democratic party called Democratic Action (AD), was indicted and suspended from office in 1993 for the misappropriation of $17.2 million. While his legal troubles had no ostensible connection to his neoliberal policies, the pain those policies inflicted helped turn popular opinion against him at a most inopportune time.
During Caldera's first two years in office he tried to govern as a kind of Christian populist, but last year, in an attempt to attract needed foreign capital back to his cash-strapped country, he acceeded to an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that would cut federal spending and ease the rules of foreign investment. The agreement was negotiated by Caldera's planning minister, Teodoro Petkoff, a former leftist guerrilla and long the leader of the administration's junior partner, MAS.
Just as the once anti-neoliberal governing coalition has become a
proponent of privatization and the massive influx of foreign capital,
the party that was voted out of office due largely to its close
identification with neoliberal policies, AD, has become a firm critic
of wholesale privatizations. In the late 1980s, an important split
developed within the corporatist, social-democratic AD, long the
country's most powerful party, between a faction of
modernizing
technocratics and an opposing faction of
nationalistic populists. Perez had allied himself with the
technocrats, but the party now seems to be moving in the opposite
direction.
Like AD, all the parties are divided on questions of privatization,
and this past spring, the militant workers' party, the Causa R
(Radical Cause) literally split apart over the issue. A more moderate
faction, which keeps the party's name, is open to certain
pragmatic compromises on the issue, while the more radical faction,
now called Homeland for All (PPT in its Spanish initials) is braced
for a long-term anti- privatization struggle. MAS, which for nearly
three decades has been the strongest party on the left, has remained
intact, but is racked with dissent. When the prominent MAS
congressman, Walter Marquez, recently deplored the opening of the
Imataca forest reserve to concessions, he was attacking his own party
leadership-much of which was behind the privatizing decree. Marquez
told me recently that environmentalist and indigenous protesters were
unable to sway the government on the issue because the administration
is autistic; it attaches more importance to multinational
investment than public opinion.
Protests against the Imataca concessions did, however, succeed in influencing members of Congress, virtually all of whom, with the exception of those in Caldera's Convergencia, voted to censure the privatizing decree. The president of the Chamber of Deputies' Mining Committee, Cesar Perez Vivas of Copei, marched at the head of the protests to the Capital in July. The following month, the congressional Committee on the Environment and the Association of Sociologists and Anthropologists filed separate lawsuits in the Supreme Court calling for the abrogation of the decree. They questioned its legality on grounds that it turned over the exploitation of the reserve to private mining and lumbering interests without congressional approval, and that it ignored the rights of indigenous people to their ancestral lands.
Marquez criticized his party's two-time presidential candidate and
current Planning Minister Teodoro Petkoff for helping draft the
decree. Marquez, who in the past has been on Petkoff's side in
internal MAS disputes, said he had a lot of respect for Teodoro,
but on this one he is wrong. The Imataca reserve is nature in pure
form and, as a part of our patrimony, needs to be maintained
intact.
Petkoff, arguing that foreign capital would impose order
on the illegal mining and concomitant ecological devastation in the
area, took the opposite view: Who can say, as the decree's
critics claim, that Imataca is the Garden of Eden where Adam and Eden
love each other surrounded by small birds and sylphs. Imataca is the
kingdom of anarchy.
Venezuela was a latecomer to neoliberalism in large part because oil
money cushioned the government from pressures to privatize. The
current Privatization Law was finally approved in 1992 at the same
time that the state telephone company as well as non-strategic
firms such as small banks, hotels and sugar mills to be turned over to
private hands. These transfers, however, were only a prelude to the
current proposals for the privatization of the economy's crown
jewels-the oil industry and the aluminum, steel and electrical
companies run by the public Venezuelan Corporation of Guayana (CVG)-as
well as the social- security system.
The privatization of oil represents a special challenge for Venezuelan
neoliberals. The celebrated nationalization of the oil industry in
1976 boosted nationalist feelings, just as it had in Mexico in 1938.
Venezuelan politicians are reluctant to reverse the process
completely, though with Mexico's gradual privatization of
secondary
oil facilities as a model, many are willing to
support piecemeal privatization. On July 21, Time magazine ran an
anonymous eight-page advertisement entitled Opening the Door to
Foreign Investors: The Venezuelan Oil Opening.
The ad explained
that the plans for the foreign exploitation of reserves, the private
ownership of gas stations, and the privatization of the petrochemical
industry represent the back door route to privatization
of
PDVSA, the state-owned oil company. The ad ends on an optimistic note
for investors: The hard work in the future lies in convincing a
nationalistic public to accept what is almost inevitable-in the future
PDVSA will be privatized.
PDVSA president Luis Giusti has argued that the privatization of PDVSA
should not be taboo, but even he is reluctant to buck public opinion
by openly advocating its sale. Ali Rodriguez, vice-president of
Congress's bicameral Mining Committee, and one of the breakaway
radicals in PPT, told me it was not at all surprising that no one
claims credit for the Time ad. The ad's sponsors obviously wanted
to test the waters and prepare public opinion.
The Causa R (prior
to the PPT schism) was the only major party in congress to vote
against the Oil Opening,
which invites private capital to
participate in the exploration and exploitation of oil reserves.
The Opening has three modalities: The first allows for the foreign
management of marginal wells. (The Mining Committee's Rodriguez
points out that these wells are not always that marginal
since
production sometimes doubles the 15,000 barrels per-day limit which is
what defines the term in the United States.) The second modality
allows for investment in non-conventional oil, specifically from the
Orinoco Oil Belt, which requires vast sums of capital and untested
sophisticated technology.
The third part of the opening, known as Shared Profits,
opens
conventional oil fields to foreign capital. Rodriguez calls it the
true privatization of oil.
The government somewhat misleadingly
labels the plan high risk
investment. In fact, exploration is
anticipated to be costly but the risk is relative. Prior to bidding,
PDVSA had undertaken preliminary explorations of the eight blocks that
were auctioned off and the findings were handed over to the winning
bidder. According to the June 14 issue of The Economist, in at least
two of the blocks, PDVSA had encountered proven reserves, and the rich
potential of all of them was widely recognized. Rodriguez criticizes
the Shared Profits plan for limiting the state's participation to
between 1% and 35% of the total capital of each joint
venture. Undoubtedly, the arrangement generates substantial public
revenue, but the state's relinquishment of its status as major
investor points in the direction of the early days of the industry
when Shell and Standard ruled the oilfields.
Originally PDVSA proposed parity between its representatives and those
of private capital on the Control Committees
making decisions
for the exploitation of individual blocks. In Congressional debate,
veteran AD leader Carlos Canache Mata attacked the plan on grounds
that it is not what we voted for when we approved the
Nationalization Law in 1975
which guarantees the monopolistic
control by the state of any association with private capital.
Canache succeeded in getting Congress to modify the proposal to
stipulate that a representative nominated by the Ministry of Mines
preside over the Control Committees and have the decisive vote. He
also played a key role in getting AD to also oppose the privatization
of the petrochemical industry as a whole, though in ratifying the Oil
Opening, AD and other parties in Congress have certainly helped open a
beachhead for foreign capital.
Debates over privatization are also underway in the Iron Zone
in the state of Bolivar, which consists of one steel and two aluminum
complexes utilizing locally extracted iron and bauxite. For many
decades, the ambitious development plans for these state-run
industries were a source of considerable national pride. The Iron Zone
was also the home of a radical trade-union movement known as New
Unionism
which catapulted the Causa R onto the national political
stage in the 1980s.
In the recent past, New Unionism has organized two marches to demand
that the privatization of CVG-owned companies be carried out
humanely. The group calls for the sale of 20% of the stock of the new
aluminum consortium to the workers and another 20% to the general
public. Jorge Roig, a Causa R member of the Congressional Mining
Committee, has won other committee members over to a proposal which
would allocate half the proceeds derived from the CVG's
privatization (after paying off outstanding debts) to a plan to
relaunch
the Iron Zone. This would include a fund for
retraining workers, another for stimulating small and medium-sized
businesses, and a third to promote new models of development in the
region. The Mining Committee also modified the plan proposed by the
CVG and other government technocrats by freezing the size of the work
force in both the steel and aluminum industries for one year.
AD's role on the Mining Committee has actually been more combative than that of the Causa R. The party is willing to hold up the CVG- sponsored plan for as long as necessary in order to make major revisions which favor national interests. AD's Senator Virgilio Avila Vivas, who heads the bicameral Mining Committee, favors breaking up the aluminum industry, rather than selling it in one block-as the CVG (with the support of the Causa R's Roig) proposes-to a vertically integrated aluminum company such as Alcoa. Avila Vivas warns that the CVG- sponsored plan, although earning the state more revenue, would exclude the 170 Venezuelan companies which process aluminum, since production will be exported to the new owner's subsidiaries throughout the world. This preoccupation is shared by MAS' former president Gustavo Marquez, head of the Congress' privatization committee, who fears that Venezuelan firms will be deprived of a sure and steady source of raw material and will not be able to survive if obliged to import aluminum from abroad.
As with steel, aluminum and oil, few political leaders, if any, propose to exclude the private sector from a restructured social-security system. Neoliberals, on the other hand, such as the main business organization Fedecamaras, do want to exclude the state, and envision social security's privatization along the lines of the Chilean model. Fedecamaras points to the need to avoid the experience of the Venezuelan Social Security Institute (IVSS), which was a hotbed of corruption and which funneled employee-employer contributions to other government programs and even invested in real estate. The business organization argues that the state is an inherently inept administrator.
Nevertheless, the self-righteousness of business leaders belies their
own responsibility for the IVSS' virtual collapse. According to
the Finance Ministry, the government recently detected
that the
debt of all employers-both private and public-to the IVSS was on the
order of several billion dollars. Indeed, Fedecamaras' interest in
divesting the state of institutional mechanisms to oversee the
social-security system may stem from a not-so-unconscious desire to
evade their obligations as debtors. We are left with the
impression,
a leader of the public employees union told me,
that businessmen are hoping for a repeat of what happened with the
loans granted by the CVF [Venezuelan Development Corporation]. When
the CVF was dismantled the multimillion debt of the private sector was
simply forgiven and forgotten.
The government and the country's principal labor confederation, the Venezuelan Workers Confederation (CTV), have insisted on a mixed public-private system which includes state administration and supervision. Labor leaders question the reliability of the financial institutions which would be in charge of investing the money deposited in individual worker accounts under the new arrangement. The government bailout of over half of the nation's banks as a result of a financial debacle in 1994 serves as a vivid reminder for trade unionists, who refuse to write the state out of the new system.
The workers' confederation, however, has been less than firm in
its attitude. Earlier this year, for example, it accepted the
elimination of a system of severance pay calculated on the basis of
years of service at the worker's current salary. The system, which
a 20-year old Rafael Caldera helped draft in 1936, was one of the most
advanced of its kind anywhere. The CTV blindly accepted
Fedecamaras' argument that business' onerous severance-pay
obligations tied up capital and discouraged companies from hiring
workers and increasing salaries. Furthermore, in the words of CTV
executive committee member Freddy Iriarte, we were led to believe
that, in addition to higher wages and more jobs, doing away with
retroactive payments would somehow magically pave the way for the
creation of a new, viable social-security system.
Nothing of the sort happened, and in response, a CTV-sponsored general
strike on August 6 completely paralyzed the economy. The shutdown was
directed against those companies which did not grant
substantial
wage increases, as the president of Fedecamaras
explicitly promised, and against those who laid off workers, as
Fedecamaras assured would not happen. Indeed, the strike was a tacit
admission that the CTV had been hoodwinked by the private sector.
The government profited from the CTV's rhetoric which focused on
the irresponsibility of the private sector. Planning Minister Petkoff
stated that as a social fighter
from way back he supported the
August strike. Petkoff insisted that the shutdown was not directed
against the government, which had dutifully met its obligations by
increasing salaries for public employees, but against businessmen, who
in general lacked the Schumpeterian zeal
of their counterparts
in other nations.
The ongoing debates in Congress over the terms of privatization of aluminum and steel; the opposition to the privatization of oil, petrochemical production and hydroelectric energy; and the CTV's resistance to the complete privatization of the social-security system, all belie the claims of some neoliberals that the lack of differences over economic policy demonstrates Venezuela's acceptance of the fabled consensus on modernization and globalization. Progressives in all the parties now need to insert economic policy and strategy more explicitly into the national political debate. Not only does it make electoral sense, but it is also the best assurance that whomever comes to power in next December's presidential elections will not attempt to railroad through an IMF-style program of wholesale privatization.