From owner-imap@chumbly.math.missouri.edu Tue Feb 11 08:01:32 2003
Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:57:56 -0600 (CST)
From: MichaelP <papadop@peak.org>
Subject: Guardian: ISOLATED UK RUBBISHES FRENCH PLAN
Article: 151664
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
http://politics.guardian.co.uk/foreignaffairs/story/0,11538,893212,00.html
The foreign secretary, Jack Straw, will underline Britain’s isolation in Europe today by rejecting a joint call by France, Russia and Germany to avoid war by sending more weapons inspectors to Iraq.
Mr Straw, in a speech in London, will dismiss the plan, formalised in a declaration in Paris last night. France wants to treble the number of inspectors, but the foreign secretary will deride the idea by saying that even a thousandfold increase would fail to guarantee Iraqi disarmament.
His comments come less than 24 hours after Iraq bowed to one of the key demands of the international community—agreeing to the overflight of U-2 spyplanes. Both the White House and the Foreign Office dismissed the concession as unsurprising and insufficient.
By forging a formal alliance, France, Germany and Russia—all members
of the security council, two of whom can veto any UN resolution—have
greatly strengthened the anti-war campaign. Their declaration proposed
the continuation of inspections and a substantial reinforcement of
their human and technical capacities ... in liaison with the
inspectors
.
In an ill-concealed dig at recent undiplomatic remarks by increasingly
frustrated US officials, the declaration requested that discussions
might continue in the spirit of friendship and respect that
characterises our relations with the United States
.
The French president, Jacques Chirac, said: Nothing today justifies
a war. This region really does not need another war.
Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, said the inspectors were making
progress. Iraq is offering more information and has shown a
greater wish and willingness to cooperate,
he said, adding that
Russia was ready to contribute equipment and aviation
to any
effort to bolster the inspections.
The hardening of the anti-war forces will make it near-impossible for the US and Britain to push this weekend for a second UN resolution declaring Iraq to be in material breach of its disarmament obligations and to authorise war. Without a UN mandate, Tony Blair will have difficulty in carrying his cabinet and party with him into war. He has said that he is aware the Iraq crisis is a threat to his premiership.
Mr Straw’s speech will underline the extent to which Britain has
parted company with mainstream Europe over Iraq. Challenging the logic
of the Franco-Russo-German position, he will say: If Saddam bows to
the UN’s demands and co-operates promptly, what is the need for
greater numbers of inspectors? If he maintains his refusal to
cooperate, how will higher numbers help? Lethal viruses can be
produced within an area the size of the average living room.
In the absence of Iraqi cooperation, even a thousandfold increase
in the UN monitoring, verification and inspection commission’s
capabilities will not allow us to establish with any degree of
confidence that Iraq has disarmed.
The US and British position is that the policy of containment of Iraq employed by the international community since the Gulf war in 1991 is redundant and the French, German and Russian call for an increase in inspectors would mark a return to containment.
In a further setback to Washington and London yesterday, France, Germany and Belgium joined forces to block a US-led move to get Nato approval to bolster Turkey’s defences ahead of any war against Iraq.
Two emergency meetings at the alliance’s Brussels headquarters failed to resolve the issue, which is to be discussed by ambassadors meeting again today.
Nicholas Burns, the US envoy, warned that Nato’s credibility was now at stake. Diplomats said Mr Chirac was largely to blame for one of the worst crises in Nato’s 54-year history.
The US defence secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, stressed the US and
willing allies
would go ahead with planning to help Turkey
outside of Nato if necessary
.
And in another sign of concern about the Iraq crisis, the EU is to hold an emergency summit next week to discuss the widening rift in European-US relations.
The divisions will come to a head on Friday in the aftermath of the
report to the security council by the UN chief weapons inspector, Hans
Blix, and the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Mohammed
El Baradei, who said yesterday that Iraq has four days to act on
promises to fully disarm with actual progress
that will
demonstrate the change of environment
necessary to avert war.
Although the inspectors witnessed the beginning of a change of
heart
during their weekend visit to Baghdad, concrete measures
must now be taken to assure the world that Iraq no longer has weapons
of mass destruction, he said.
With certain capitals
showing growing impatience with Iraq,
several steps should be evident by Friday, Mr El Baradei warned.
Revealing the measures, Mr El Baradei said full and active Iraqi
cooperation
was vital if he and Mr Blix were to report the sort of
progress that could convince the council to prolong inspections—and
possibly defuse the crisis.
As well as overflights by the U-2s and a promise yesterday to bring in legislation banning weapons of mass destruction, the inspectors are seeking a verbal commitment by the Iraqi authorities to permit further unsupervised interviews of Iraqi scientists. It is hoped that some interviews will be carried out abroad.
Iraq should also produce additional contemporaneous documentation such as invoices, inventories and government orders to prove the destruction of its anthrax and VX nerve gas. Such evidence would enable the inspectors to close files that have been outstanding for the past 12 years.